Paper #1388

Título:

The global welfare impact of China: Trade integration and technological change

Autores:

Julian di Giovanni, Andrei A. Levchenko y Jing Zhang

Fecha:

Octubre 2013

Resumen:

This paper evaluates the global welfare impact of China's trade integration and technological change in a multi-country quantitative Ricardian-Heckscher-Ohlin model. We simulate two alternative growth scenarios: a "balanced" one in which China's productivity grows at the same rate in each sector, and an "unbalanced" one in which China's comparative disadvantage sectors catch up disproportionately faster to the world productivity frontier. Contrary to a well-known conjecture (Samuelson 2004), the large majority of countries experience significantly larger welfare gains when China's productivity growth is biased towards its comparative disadvantage sectors. This finding is driven by the inherently multilateral nature of world trade.

Palabras clave:

China, productivity growth, international trade

Códigos JEL:

F11, F43, O33, O47

Área de investigación:

Macroeconomía y Economía Internacional

Publicado en:

American Journal of Economics: Macroeconomics, 6:3, 153-183, July 2014

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