Department of Economics and Business - Universitat Pompeu Fabra

Title:: Climate change and migration: the case of Africa
Author:: Bruno Conte
Date:: October 2023
Abstract:: How will future climate change affect rural economies like sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) in terms of migration and welfare losses? How can policy enhance SSA's capacity to adapt to this process? I answer these questions with a quantitative framework that, coupled with rich spatial data and forecasts for the future, estimates millions of climate migrants and sizeable and unequal welfare losses in SSA. Investigating migration and trade policies as mitigating tools, I find a tradeoff associated with the former: reducing SSA migration barriers to the European Union (EU) standards eliminates aggregate welfare losses at the cost of more climate migration and high regional inequality. Reducing tariffs to the EU levels attenuates this cost.
Keywords:: climate change, migration, economic geography
JEL codes:: O15, Q54, R12
Area of Research:: Political Economy

Download the paper in PDF format (5,042 Kb)

Search Working Papers

By Author:
-enter one surname only or surname and first name separated by a comma and in this order-

By Date:
-when used a value in each of the four fields must be selected-
from (month) from (year) to (month) to (year)

By Keywords:
-separate each keyword or group of keywords by commas-

By JEL code(s):
-separate each code by commas-

By Area:

Predefined Queries