Paper #1859

Títol:

Partisan Abortions

Autors:

Libertad González Luna, Luis Guirola i Blanca Zapater

Data:

Març 2023

Resum:

We study the effect of unexpected changes in the party in government on fertility outcomes, using administrative data on births and abortions for Spain. Following a difference-in-differences strategy, we find that, after an unanticipated loss by the party in power in 2004, municipalities with strong support for this party experienced a sharp increase in abortions (of about 0.10 pregnancy interruptions per 1,000 women in the month following the election), as well as a decrease in pregnancies leading to live birth (of about 0.28 conceptions per 1,000 women, for an average monthly birth rate of 3.9). We show that the surprise election results also had an immediate effect on citizens' economic expectations along partisan lines, a plausible channel for the impact on fertility decisions.

Paraules clau:

Fertility, economic expectations, abortion, partisanship

Codis JEL:

J13, D72

Àrea de Recerca:

Economia Laboral, Pública, de Desenvolupament i de la Salut

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