Paper #1649

Títol:

Expansionary yet different: credit supply and real effects of negative interest rate policy

Autors:

Margherita Bottero, Camelia Minoiu, José-Luis Peydró, Andrea Polo, Andrea F. Presbitero i Enrico Sette

Data:

Febrer 2019 (Revisió: Setembre 2020)

Resum:

We show that negative interest rate policy (NIRP) has expansionary effects on bank credit supply and firm outcomes through a portfolio rebalancing channel. For identification, we exploit ECB's NIRP and credit register, firm- and bank-level datasets. NIRP affects relatively more banks with higher ex-ante net interbank positions or more liquid balance sheets. More exposed banks reduce liquid assets, expand credit supply to ex-ante riskier firms, and cut rates, inducing sizable firm-level real effects. By shifting down and flattening the yield curve, NIRP differs from rate cuts just above the zero-lower-bound. We find no evidence of a contractionary retail deposit channel.

Paraules clau:

negative interest rates, portfolio rebalancing, bank lending channel of monetary policy, liquidity management, Eurozone crisis.

Codis JEL:

E52; E58; G01; G21, G28.

Àrea de Recerca:

Finances i Comptabilitat / Macroeconomia i Economia Internacional / Economia Laboral, Pública, de Desenvolupament i de la Salut

Publicat a:

Journal of Financial Economics, 146 (2), Nov. 2022, pp. 754-778, DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2021.11.004

Comentari:

Previously circulated as ‘Negative Monetary Policy Rates and Portfolio Rebalancing: Evidence from Credit Register Data’.

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