Paper #1053

Títol:

International commodity prices, growth and the outbreak of Civil War in Sub-Saharan Africa

Autors:

Markus Brückner i Antonio Ciccone

Data:

Octubre 2007

Resum:

To learn more about the effect of economic conditions on civil war, we examine whether Sub-Saharan civil wars are more likely to start following downturns in the international price of countries’ main export commodities. The data show a robust effect of commodity price downturns on the outbreak of civil wars. We also find that Sub-Saharan countries are more likely to see civil wars following economic downturns in their main OECD export destinations.

Paraules clau:

Commodity prices, civil war, Sub-Saharian Africa

Codis JEL:

O0, P0, Q0

Àrea de Recerca:

Macroeconomia i Economia Internacional

Publicat a:

The Economic Journal, 120 (544), 519-534, 2010

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